Global wine production is expected to reach around 232 million hectolitres in 2025,  a modest recovery from 2024, yet still below the five-year average, according to the International Organization of Vine and Wine (OIV).

The increase of approximately 3 % over last year marks the third consecutive vintage to fall short of historic averages. Extreme climate events, including droughts, late frosts, and heavy rains, continue to weigh heavily on global output.

Europe Grapples with Weather Challenges

In Europe, conditions remained particularly challenging. France recorded one of its smallest harvests since the 1950s, while Spain experienced output at a 30-year low, affected by heat, mildew, and other climatic pressures.

Meanwhile, Italy bucked the continental trend, achieving an 8 % increase in production thanks to favourable spring weather and improved vineyard management practices.

Southern Hemisphere Shows Partial Recovery

Across the Southern Hemisphere, producers achieved a 7 % rebound after several years of decline. Stronger harvests in South Africa, Australia, and New Zealand contributed to this improvement. Nevertheless, regional output still remains roughly 5 % below the five-year average, indicating that climate pressures continue to influence production globally.

Global Perspective on Supply and Demand

OIV director general John Barker noted that while lower output creates challenges for individual vineyards and regions, at a global scale, restrained production may help balance supply and demand. This alignment occurs amid weak consumption in major markets and ongoing uncertainties in international trade.

Outlook and Data Updates

The organisation  emphasises that these figures are preliminary estimates. Full, detailed data on 2025 production is expected in 2026, providing a clearer picture of how vineyards worldwide are coping with persistent climate strain.